Erdoğan alliance’s public support falls to 46 percent, poll of polls shows

Turkish public support for President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s governing alliance has dropped to 46 percent from more than 50 percent, Diken news website reported on Tuesday, citing the average of polls conducted by 16 polling companies over the last three months.

In Turkey’s 2018 parliamentary elections, Erdoğan’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its far-right ally, the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), received a combined 54 percent of the vote.

Backing for the AKP and MHP’s “People’s Alliance” is declining due to Turkey’s economic difficulties and increasing distrust in the judiciary, Diken said.

The government is expected to make changes to the electoral system to deal with the problem, such as lowering the electoral threshold required to enter parliament to 7 percent from 10 percent, Diken reported.

The average result of the opinion polls showed that the AKP’s support fell to 36 percent from 43 percent in the last elections.

The AKP is preparing legislation to lower the electoral threshold, pro-government Daily Sabah reported on Feb. 11. That would allow smaller parties to gain seats in the legislature without necessarily joining alliances, potentially benefitting the AKP’s far-right ally, the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), whose support is hovering at around 10 percent.

Turkey’s parliamentary threshold was set following a military coup in 1980 and is the highest among voting systems in Europe.

Erdoğan said on Tuesday that his government would seek to alter the constitution and revise laws governing elections and political parties as part of sweeping human rights reforms ahead of the 2023 elections.